The “Scorpion” Opposition

co-optation and Fragmentation of the Venezuelan Opposition in the Gubernatorial Election (2021)

Authors

  • José Guillermo Pérez-Camacho Universidade Estadual de Campinas (Unicamp)

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14244/agenda.2023.3.10

Keywords:

Co-optation, Venezuela, Electoral authoritarianism

Abstract

The aim of this article is to examine the strategies of co-optation and fragmentation employed by the government of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro against the Venezuelan opposition, and to assess their electoral impacts. While co-optation is not a novel tactic and is characteristic of electoral authoritarian regimes like Venezuela, it has gained prominence in that country in recent years due to the emergence of a faction of co-opted opposition, colloquially known as "alacranes" (scorpions). The involvement of this co-opted opposition provides insights into how the Venezuelan government, despite its low popularity ratings, manages to secure electoral victories. This study analyzes the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Venezuela to investigate the electoral effects of the co-opted opposition. The findings reveal a statistically significant correlation between the decline in votes for the traditional opposition (referred to as MUD) and the presence of the co-opted opposition ("scorpions").

Author Biography

José Guillermo Pérez-Camacho, Universidade Estadual de Campinas (Unicamp)

Sociólogo da Universidade Central de Venezuela (UCV). Mestre em Ciências Sociais da Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (UFSM). Doutorando em Ciência Política da Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP).

References

AN publica nombres de diputados involucrados en <> . Efecto Cocuyo, 20 dez. 2019. Disponível em: <https://efectococuyo.com/politica/an-publica-nombres-de-diputados-involucrados-en-operacion-alacran/>. Acesso em: 02 fev. 2022.

ARRIOLA, L.; DEVARO, J.; MENG, A. Democratic Subversion: Elite Cooptation and Opposition Fragmentation. American Political Science Review, v. 115, n. 4, p. 1358-1372 2021. Disponível em: <https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-political-science-review/article/abs/democratic-subversion-elite-cooptation-and-opposition-fragmentation/24CA64BE0EFA4601D00AFC899CBAF044>. Acesso em: 01 ago. 2024.

BANDERA Roja abandona la MUD. El Impulso, 7 set. 2014. Disponível em: https://www.elimpulso.com/2014/09/07/bandera-roja-abandona-la-mud/. Acesso em: 02 fev. 2022.

CANTOR, F. La base sólida del chavismo se reduce sin que la oposición logre sacar rédito. El País, 25 nov. 2021. Disponível em: <https://elpais.com/internacional/2021-11-26/la-base-solida-del-chavismo-se-reduce-sin-que-la-oposicion-logre-sacar-redito.html?ssm=TW_CC>. Acesso em: 02 jan. 2022.

CNE emite segundo reporte de resultados de las Elecciones Regionales y Municipales 2021. CNE, 22 nov. 2021. Disponível em: <http://www.cne.gob.ve/web/sala_prensa/noticia_detallada.php?id=4088>. Acesso em: 08 dez. 2023.

CNE. CNE, 2021. Elección Regional de Gobernadores. Disponível em: <https://www.cne.gob.ve/>. Acesso em: 08 de dez. 2023.

CORRALES, J. Autocracy Rising: How Venezuela transitioned to Authoritarianism. Washington DC: Brookings Institutions Press, 2022.

CORRALES, J. Democratic backsliding through electoral irregularities: The case of Venezuela. European Review of Latin America and Caribbean Studies, v. ano 2023, n. 109, p. 41-65, 2020. Disponível em: <https://www.jstor.org/stable/26936902>. Acesso: 01 ago. 2022.

CORRALES, J. The Authoritarian Resurgence: Autocratic legalism in Venezuela. Journal of Democracy, v. 26, n. 2, p. 37-51, 2015. Disponível em: <https://www.journalofdemocracy.org/articles/the-authoritarian-resurgence-autocratic-legalism-in-venezuela/>. Acesso: 01 de ago. 2022.

COSCOJUELA, S. TSJ se convierte em el verdugo de los partidos políticos. Runrunes, 18 jun. 2020. Disponível em: <https://runrun.es/rr-es-plus/411498/tsj-se-convierte-en-el-verdugo-de-los-partidos-politicos/>.Acesso em: 03 jan. 2022.

GANATIOS, L. Calidad de la democracia en Venezuela. Clío América, v. 4, n. 8, p. 234-251, 2010.

GANDHI, J.; PRZEWORSKI, A. Cooperation, cooptation and rebellion under Dictatorship. Economics & Politics, v. 18, n. 1, p. 1-26, 2006. Disponível em: <https://www.researchgate.net/publication/4989931_Cooperation_Cooptation_and_Rebellion_under_Dictatorship>. Acesso em: 01 ago. 2024.

GANDHI, J. Political institutions under Dictatorship. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2008.

GANDHI, J. Elections and Political Regimes. Government and Opposition, v. 50, n. 3, p. 446-468, 2015. Disponível em: <https://www.jstor.org/stable/26349775>. Acesso em: 01 ago. 2024.

GERSCHEWSKI, J. The three pillars of stability: legitimation, repression, and co-optation in autocratic regimes. Democratizacion, v. 20, n. 1, p. 13-38, 2013. Disponível em: <https://www.researchgate.net/publication/263345225_The_three_pillars_of_stability_Legitimation_repression_and_co-optation_in_autocratic_regimes>.Acesso em: 01 ago. 2024.

GÓMEZ, P. Comportamiento electoral en Venezuela: el caso de la Mesa de la Unidad Democrática (MUD). Teoria e Cultura, v. 14, n. 1, p. 138-152, 2019. Disponível em: <https://periodicos.ufjf.br/index.php/TeoriaeCultura/article/view/26185>. Acesso em: 01 ago. 2024.

HERNÁNDEZ, J. Bases fundamentales de la transición en Venezuela: el reconocimiento del Presidente de la Asamblea Nacional como Presidente encargado de Venezuela. Caracas: Editorial Jurídica Venezolana, 2020.

JIMÉNEZ, M. Contesting Autocracy: Repression and Opposition Coordination in Venezuela. Political Studies, v. 7, n. 1, p. 47-68, 2021. Disponível em: <https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0032321721999975>. Acesso em: 01 ago. 2024.

KAVASOGLU, B. Opposition parties and Elite Co-optation in Electoral Autocracies. V-Dem Workin Paper, v. 120, 2021. Disponível em: <https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3841392>. Acesso em: 04 fev. 2022.

KORNBLITH, M. Venezuela: calidad de las elecciones y calidad de la democracia. América Latina Hoy, v. 45, p. 109-124, 2007. Disponível em: <https://revistas.usal.es/cuatro/index.php/1130-2887/article/view/2435/2484>. Acesso em: 01 ago. 2024.

LEÓN-GANATIOS, L. Calidad de la democracia en Venezuela. Clío América, v. 4, n. 8, p. 234-251, 2010. Disponível em: <https://dialnet.unirioja.es/descarga/articulo/5114761.pdf>. Acesso em: 01 ago. 2024.

LEVINE, D.; MOLINA, J. Calidad de la democracia en Venezuela. América Latina Hoy, v. 62, p. 157-175, 2012. Disponível em: <https://www.researchgate.net/publication/348533436_Calidad_de_la_democracia_en_Venezue>.Acesso em: 01 ago. 2024.

LEVITSKY, S..; WAY, L. Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes after the Cold War. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2010.

LEVITSKY, S.; ZIBLATT, D. Como as democracias morrem. Rio de Janeiro: Zahar. Edição Kindle, 2018.

LUGO, H. Sectarismo del PSUV trajo roncha: 24 grupos hacen alianza contra 'entreguistas'. Crónica Uno, 22 abr. 2016. Disponível em: <https://cronica.uno/sectarismo-del-psuv-trajo-roncha-24-grupos-hacen-alianza-entreguistas/>. Acesso em: 04 fev. 2022.

MARTÍNEZ, E. El TSJ alteró la directiva de siete partidos de oposición. Efecto Cocuyo, 16 jun. 2020. Disponível em: <https://efectococuyo.com/cocuyo-chequea/tsj-cambiado-directiva-siete-partidos-oposicion/>. Acesso em: 04 fev. 2022.

MCADAM, D., TARROW, S., Tilly, C. Dynamics of Contention. Cambridge: Cambrigde University Press, 2001.

MEZA, A. ¿Quiénes forman en Venezuela la Mesa de Unidad?. El País, 07 dez. 2015. Disponível em: <https://elpais.com/internacional/2015/12/07/actualidad/1449484635_471219.html>. Acesso em: 08 de dez. 2023.

MILLONES de dólares em efectivo les ofrecieron a los diputados con la operación alacrán. Transparencia Venezuela, 20 jan. 2020. Disponível em: <https://transparencia.org.ve/millones-de-dolares-en-efectivo-les-ofrecieron-a-los-diputados-con-la-operacion-alacran/> . Acesso em: 02 fev. 2022.

PARDO, D. Venezuela: MIN- Unidad, el partido que no se sabe si es chavista u opositor. BBC Mundo, 5 nov. 2015. Disponível em: <https://www.bbc.com/mundo/noticias/2015/11/151105_venezuela_elecciones_minunidad_dp>. Acesso em: 02 jan. 2022.

PRZEWORSKI, A. Democracia e mercado: No Leste Europeu e na América Latina. Rio de Janeiro: Relume-Dumará, 1994.

QUINTERO, L.; CARRILLO, J. L. Intervención judicial de partidos afecta más al G4 si quiere ir a elecciones. Tal Cual, 10 ago. 2021. Disponível em: <https://talcualdigital.com/intervencion-judicial-de-partidos-afecta-mas-al-g4-si-quiere-ir-a-elecciones/>.Acesso em: 02 jan. 2022.

QUINTERO, L. Régimen desembolsó más de 50 millones de euros por la «operación Alacrán». TalCual. 26 jun. 2020. Disponível em: <https://talcualdigital.com/regimen-desembolso-mas-de-50-millones-de-euros-por-la-operacion-alacran/>. Acesso em: 08 dez. 2023.

SARDIÑA, M. Venezuela: el oficialismo retira la inmunidad de cuatro parlamentarios opositores. França 24, 17 dez. 2019. Disponível em: <https://www.france24.com/es/20191217-venezuela-el-oficialismo-retira-la-inmunidad-a-cuatro-parlamentarios-opositores>. Acesso em: 02 jan. 2022.

SELZNICK, P. Foundations of the Theory of Organizations. American Sociologial Review, v. 13, n. 1, p. 25-35, 1948. Disponível em: <https://www.jstor.org/stable/2086752>. Acesso em: 01 ago. 2024.

SINGER, F. El chavismo exhibe poco músculo en las elecciones primarias del PSUV en Venezuela. El País, 10 ago. 2021. Disponível em: <https://elpais.com/internacional/2021-08-10/el-chavismo-exhibe-poco-musculo-en-las-elecciones-primarias-del-psuv-en-venezuela.html>. Acesso em: 08 dez. 2023.

SCHEDLER, A. La política de la incertidumbre en los regímenes electorales autoritarios. Cidade do México: FCE-CIDE, 2016.

TILLY, C. Democracy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007.

TSJ expropia a AD, PJ y VP con una «oposición» a la medida de Maduro. Acceso a la Justicia, 10 jul. 2020. Disponível em: <https://accesoalajusticia.org/tsj-expropia-a-ad-pj-y-vp-con-una-oposicion-a-la-medida-de-maduro/>. Acesso em: 02 jan. 2022.

WOLKENSTEIN, F. What is democratic backsliding?. Constellations, v. 30, n. 3, p. 215-367, 2022. Disponível em: <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1467-8675.12627>. Acesso em: 01 ago. 2024.

WALDNER, D.; LUST, E. Unwelcome Change: Coming to Terms with Democratic Backsliding. Annual Review of Political Science, v. 21. n. 1, p. 93-113, 2018. Disponível em: <https://www.annualreviews.org/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-polisci-050517-114628>. Acesso em: 01 ago. 2024.

WINTROBE, R. The Political Economy of Dictatorship. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1998.

Published

2024-11-19

How to Cite

PÉREZ-CAMACHO, José Guillermo. The “Scorpion” Opposition: co-optation and Fragmentation of the Venezuelan Opposition in the Gubernatorial Election (2021). Revista Agenda Política, [S. l.], v. 11, n. 3, p. 225–245, 2024. DOI: 10.14244/agenda.2023.3.10. Disponível em: https://www.agendapolitica.ufscar.br/index.php/agendapolitica/article/view/951. Acesso em: 30 apr. 2025.

Similar Articles

1 2 3 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.